Revelations - PP open to pardon secessionists

Conservative media is spreading the news that PP leader and former Galician President Alberto Núñez Feijóo, could be open for a conditional pardon to secessionists, including former Catalan President in exile, Carles Puigdemont. News are causing criticism against PP in conservative media, forcing their leaders to react. theirarrive together with the revelation that the PP considered the possibility of indults in the context of a set of secret meetings with Puigdemont’s party to explore options to retrieve the support of the Catalanians to get the necessary votes to achieve the Government during the negotiations of the investiture of the Spanish Congress, finally lead by PSOE leader, Pedro Sánchez.

Analysis

The potential impact of these news on Galician elections has been acknowledged by PP leader, who has mentioned the intent of this news to play dirty in the Galician elections. As previously noted, public debate on the amnesty law has been a major element dragging intention to vote to the PSOE The PP has led this initiativ, successfully defining an anthagonic frame with those rejecting the amnesty being in the side of the Constitution, and those supporting it using it as a bargain to stay in power. The suppport of conservative majoritarian media this frame has consistently eroded public opinion’s support to PSOE, visible in a weaning support in surveys. The revelations, widely spread by conservative media, imply a drawback against the PP because it questions the consistency of its leadership, diminishing the strength of this frame.

Parametrization

We slightly reduce likelihood to vote PP in its own electorate. We slighty increase transfer to vote from PP to VOX.